The viability of Airventure is likely rooted in the competence of the vaccine distribution plan and the behavior of people before and immediately after they are vaccinated. Your confidence level in those two things may vary.
Take this for what it's worth:
Quote:
November 19, 2020 – At last week's fall meeting – held in a virtual format – the EAA board of directors supported the ongoing planning efforts for EAA AirVenture Oshkosh 2021, which will be held July 26-August 1 at Wittman Regional Airport in Oshkosh. Among those preparations are incorporating best practices for large public events that can be incorporated at Oshkosh next year.
"There will be AirVenture in 2021, as it is so important for all of us in every segment of the aviation community," said Jack J. Pelton, EAA CEO and Chairman of the Board. "We have heard from many, many EAA members and others who have pent-up enthusiasm to be back on the flightline at Oshkosh. While it's still too early to know exactly what everything will look like for the event, it's important to have AirVenture in 2021 – which, coincidentally, is the 100th anniversary of the birth of EAA founder Paul Poberezny."
Advance sales for admissions, camping, and other areas are currently open at the AirVenture website. In addition, free youth admission, generously supported in part by Boeing, will be continued in 2021, giving more families and young people the opportunity to fully enjoy the World's Greatest Aviation Celebration.
https://eaa.org/airventure/eaa-airventu ... ts-on-saleI would guess that absent government mandate or a regulation they can't meet and/or is totally impractical, Airventure will happen in some form.