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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 6:46 pm 
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Rob, possibly one of the best & most thoughtful responses I have seen on WIX in a long time. Nicely done.

Ken


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 6:53 pm 
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Gentlemen,

Let me remind you that the amount of "priceless" warbirds lost due to airshow accidents are far lower than everyday operations. Don't believe me? Look on the NTSB website and other forms of accident data. Most are take off/landing, HIGHER level aerobatics resulting in stall/spin scenario, or engine failure.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 7:32 pm 
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I'm all for a 250' or 500' floor on aerobatics. That buffer would have saved quite a few good pilots and their aircraft over the years. Beyond that, I'm more interested in seeing the aircraft fly than I am in wondering if some guy or gal has enough room to pull out of a low level maneuver.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 7:38 pm 
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Kyleb wrote:
I'm all for a 250' or 500' floor on aerobatics. That buffer would have saved quite a few good pilots and their aircraft over the years. Beyond that, I'm more interested in seeing the aircraft fly than I am in wondering if some guy or gal has enough room to pull out of a low level maneuver.



If not a total fallacy then a remark about something with little practical advantage.
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 7:58 pm 
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Some interesting points on an old, unresolved topic. Some comments in response to some -
k5083 wrote:
As an example, even further off topic, I've always wanted to see a really spirited acro routine done in an accurate WWI replica. The Camel and Dr.I had legendary maneuverability, okay so what does that mean? The fact that nobody is doing it makes me think it's just too suicidal.

According to Kermit and Gene deMarco, the Albatros is one of those types that looks good but doesn't fly nearly as well as it looks. However their flight of the Camel and Albatros at Classic Fighters in NZ in 2011, while not aerobatics, was excellent and showed the aircraft off to a great degree.

Bear in mind that aerobatics (what is this 'acro'?) particularly with Great War era aircraft speeds, weights and aerodynamics reduces the flight's margin above the stall and spin automatically at altitudes where a recovery from a stall / spin will occur at -1,000ft.
CH2Tdriver wrote:
It's also one which I'd love to hear from some of our resident WIX members who do it for real, Dudley, Vlado, Jim Beasley and Doug Rosendaal come to mind. (Am I missing anyone?)

Quite a few highly skilled aerobatic warbird pilots aren't writing anything any more...

The post-hoc blame the pilot element that often comes up in the post fatal accident crash is actually an avoidance of the cultural change from 'the right stuff' bu11. We are getting better, but pilot peer pressure still fails to remove some clowns before they take a good aircraft with them.
CH2Tdriver wrote:
There really is no mystery or inherent danger in a well SCRIPTED and PRACTICED aerobatic routine. The danger comes when one DEVIATES from that routine due to distraction, complacency, physiological/environmental reasons (performing in poor weather or feeling 'under the weather'), inexperience (not well practiced), mechanical, or as one well known warbird pilot put it a "juvenile moment". Lose your focus, deviate from the rehersed routine and all bets are off. It might work it might not.

True. However even more important is margins and energy management. A well scripted and practised display that projects the aircraft's energy towards the crowd (any more than a minimum required for repositioning) is not safe enough and there is always a conflict between flying at levels where recovery from a minor issue is difficult and needing to demonstrate the aircraft where the crowd can see it.

The choice isn't between 'dangerous' aerobatics in warbirds or 'racetrack' / 'sedate' flights, but positioning the choice somewhere appropriate to pilot skill, aircraft capability, location etc. between the two extremes.
N3Njeff wrote:
Older aircraft with older engines up to modern standards??? Im sorry but Rosie's quality of riveting is not even CLOSE to the quality of todays restorations. You should take in the fact that these restorations are better than factory. Flown within their original flight paramaters should not make any difference between today and whey they were built.

Unfortunately that's broadly true and occasionally specifically not. I can think of a couple of accidents where modern servicing and inspections, and higher than period flight hours contributed to engine failure and structural failure, both fatal. Yes, it's fair to say that warbirds are better maintained and repaired (or rebuilt) than new, but they aren't doing what they were built to do. They most often fly in a more benign regime than their design, but not always. We've seen (thankfully not fatal) accidents where gear retraction hardware has failed because the cycles are way off any W.W.II expectation.

N3Njeff wrote:
Yes it would be very tragic if there was losses on the ground in accidents like this but I would also think that the guy with the Pitts or Extra could afford to fly a P-51 to do aerobatics, he would still continue to do so as its HIS AIRCRAFT. It might be a shame to loose a piece of history but until the very last second, it is HIS AIRPLANE and if this is the way he enjoys himself, who am I?............................I would like to think that when I die, I would like to be doing something I love and not sitting in a wheel chair not knowing what day it is.

When I die, I certainly wouldn't hope to deprive others of enjoying something historic after my death because I 'take it with me'. However I think the laptop I'm likely to keel over on is unlikely to have the same interest to the wider community as a warbird... :lol:

Sometimes some owners and pilots talk about having an aircraft 'in trust' for future people or the community. Sure, some (many) aircraft benefit and fit in private ownership (all P-51Ds, for instance :twisted: ) but others are held in trust for us and our descendants. That's the reason the BBMF do what they do and the aircraft are owned and operated by the RAF for the people to see and appreciate. To a degree the same applies to aircraft like Fifi - 'seeing what she can do' would come a long way after keeping her flying safely for as long as possible as widely as possible.

And just to extend the argument further, I've no time for the hardcore 'only fliers are worth it'. There are aircraft that are just too precious to fly; and they belong in national collections - the Wright Flyer, Alcock & Brown's Vimy, sombody's Ryan Spirit of somewhereorother and the NC-4 in Pensacola. I'd pay good money just to hear and see one pass by the Macchi MC 72, but wouldn't be able to justify it to even myself.

Just to be clear, these aren't my personal views*, just some other facts, exceptions and angles not on the table so far. Hope they're of interest.

Regards,

*The sarcastic remarks re- P-51Ds and Lind... something are entirely mine however and are TM.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 9:03 pm 
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I'm just so dispirited. I just seems that lately we're loosing too many good men. I don't have a solution or a plan or an axe to grind, It's just that all my favorite warbird guys are gone. Who's next? :(
Tom Bowers


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 9:15 pm 
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I saw a vintage race once full of pre-1920 cars. Mostly big names like Duesenburg , Packard, Stutz, Mercer, etc. Some of them were the only examples left in the world. I had been passionate about antique cars my entire life without ever seeing one race up until that point . Until then I had only seen these type of cars driven slow and straight or static in museums and drooled over every one of them, and I am now no more or less passionate about true antique cars than I was before the race. At the race, I had paid for the entire seat but was only using the edge as I watched these helmeted drivers drive like madmen in a race that was still safer than any race that would have been in the 1910's. I saw a rare Duesenberg racing engine explode into shrapnel. That engine alone was priceless and is even more rare than the famed straight eight engines of the Model J Duesenbergs made years later. The driver escaped without injury. His willingness to provide a good spectacle while feeling his heart race as hard as his Duesenberg, had just destroyed one of the few left in the world and he was pretty upset. Sure they can machine a new replica block and this Duesenberg will live again but it will never be the same. People were so shocked that it happened, but keep in mind that in these car's heyday, blowing an engine was no big deal because they were still being made--even though at great expense. The owners of the cars all played a game of Russian roulette knowing full well that the chances of one of them destroying a car or losing a life was highly likely, but they all raced just the same. While it was neat to see those early racers battle it out again, I still desire to punch every one of those guys in the face for being so arrogant and choosing to put their lives and those cars at risk for the sake of a good show and a good time. I also am to blame, because myself and a lot of others egged the entire thing on by showing up and paying to watch the Greek tragedy.
I'm pretty passionate about propeller driven airplanes too.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 9:45 pm 
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Rob Mears, your eloquent post captures my feelings exactly. Thanks.

Lynn


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 10:22 pm 
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sandiego89 wrote:
I know this is a passionate topic, but given the number of incidents during warbird low level aerobatics for airshows/practices, for me the tide has recently changed. I used to be all for low level aerobatics by the warbirds, but I would now rather see a more sedate and safer show. Heck I just get excited seeing them start up. I do love a high speed pass, but am fine when low level loops and rolls are not part of the show. The last show I attended (a smallish prop only warbird display) had none, and I was fine with that. At larger shows I do enjoy aerobatics by the modern jets, but do not have much interest in the sport aero displays- just not my cup of tea- that is when I enjoy the static park. Perhaps there is a difference in what the general public wants and what the enthusiasts are happy with?

I know there are strong opionions both ways- some avoid airshows entitrely and some say let 'em fly all out. Perhaps there is room for everything and aero can be done safely- but I just get gutted when I see another low-level trajedy.


That's what I was agreeing with.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 11, 2012 11:07 pm 
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hbtcoveralls wrote:
I'm just so dispirited. I just seems that lately we're loosing too many good men. I don't have a solution or a plan or an axe to grind, It's just that all my favorite warbird guys are gone. Who's next? :(
Tom Bowers

Do some research here-
http://www.ntsb.gov/aviationquery/index.aspx
The NTSB website where you can research accidents. Go to the Aircraft section and enter the type of A/C in the Model Box. I used P-51, F4U and L-39.
Read the Probable Cause or other reports for the accidents and use the data to figure out if the accidents are Airshow related, fatal and the suspected cause.
I don't know if we have an increase in airshow accidents or just a run of higher profile incidents.
For a time period of overall accidents use data from this page-
http://www.ntsb.gov/aviationquery/month.aspx
Whether you go to a show or not is your call as is what you watch while you are there. The airshow industry doesn't produce to many shows for us warbird types. They typically are trying to draw a crowd. They hire performers. As long as there is a market for Warbird Aerobatics they will be performed. It is the FAA and to a lesser degee, the Insurance Companies, that will dictate what is allowable.
Fly Safe.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2012 6:26 am 
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Privately owned airplanes. Their owners can do with them as they please.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2012 7:09 am 
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L2Driver wrote:
Privately owned airplanes. Their owners can do with them as they please.

Not at an organised airshow they can't.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2012 7:21 am 
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L2Driver wrote:
Privately owned airplanes. Their owners can do with them as they please.

As far as short and sweet goes, you are 100% correct ...100%. (At a show, it is assumed that the pilot will fly within the parameters of the show box, his ACE limitations, FARs, aircraft limitations, ICAS guidelines, etc)

I found that Rob Mears' post came 99% to stating how I feel. The pilot has value. The airplane has value. These values should be weighed on a risk/reward scale and a decision to stop, proceed, or proceed in a tailored direction should be made.

A veteran warbird performer once told me he never did any pure over-the-tops (such as a loop) in his routine because, once the nose was committed to the vertical (down), there was no knock-it-off option for an error. His solution: plan a Cuban 8 instead so that the nose down angle never had to exceed 45. I think that's one fair example of risk mitigation that doesn't have a large impact on crowd appeal.

I haven't kept score on who has wrecked when. What I do know is that youtube has a smattering of awful airshow videos, some recent, but many of which are dated. P-63 stall at the top of a loop. T-6 barrel roll into the ground. P-38 roll into the ground. T-28 barrel roll into the ground. Spitfire pancakes at the bottom of a loop. I'm sure I missed some. One reason I can't quote the NTSB stats on who wrecked when is simply that I don't care ... this isn't combat with "acceptable" losses and it's certainly not a reason to argue who has the most accurate stats ... any loss (although we know it's statistically likely unless the airplanes are grounded) is unacceptable.

What were the causes? Mechanical? Physical? Insufficient skills? Birdstrike? Ego/willful disregard of rules? Distraction or impulse? A combination? Of the youtube wrecks I just named above, I'll wager that the causes of each were completely different.

So, is there a cure-all solution? No.

All one can ask is that owners maintain their aircraft to the highest standards, keep their skills sharp, and employ a continuous cycle of judgement to assess if what they are about to do passes the common sense test and leaves an out. I think of it as risk vs reward; unfortunately the risks typically far outweigh the rewards - which is why we're having this conversation in the first place.

Ken

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2012 8:03 am 
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Good post Ken.
Ken wrote:
Of the youtube wrecks I just named above, I'll wager that the causes of each were completely different.

in the cases of the UK accidents, all the reports are freely available on the AAIB website. In short 'yes'. For what it's worth in each of the cases* while the causes were different, the accidents were destructive and fatal due to insufficient altitude to recover. (What you can do about that I don't know.) Like the recently published South African EE lightning crash report, they are important reading, and if people can set aside the natural "I wouldn't do that" and "it couldn't happen to me" or "doesn't apply here" there's applicable lessons to take away with them all.

Several of the deceased pilots in those accidents I'd met, interviewed, etc. they also knew it wouldn't be them.

http://www.aaib.gov.uk/publications/formal_reports.cfm

Regards,

* P-63 at Biggin Hill, RR Spitfire XIV at Woodford, P-38 at Duxford, Firefly at Duxford, BAe Mosquito at Barton.

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2012 10:54 am 
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N3Njeff wrote:

Older aircraft with older engines up to modern standards??? Im sorry but Rosie's quality of riveting is not even CLOSE to the quality of todays restorations. You should take in the fact that these restorations are better than factory. Flown within their original flight paramaters should not make any difference between today and whey they were built.



I wasn't talking about airframe failures, more about engines. The Mosquito crashed because of engine failure...and not enough altuitude to recover.
Flying aerobatics at lower level with a Merlin (as opposed to say a PT-6) is unnecessarily risky.

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