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I personally think there is a general "reduction" in interest in aviation across the board, as evidenced by the slow death of GA certainly in my country and the visitations and memberships of a volunteer museum I am involved with.
Thats not to say that there isnt still a strong interest in "early" aviation, or WW2 Warbirds, quite the opposite could be argued by the number of WW1 restorations and replicas popping out of the system at the moment, the exotic recoveries from Russia, or the re-production of Me262s or FW190's.
However I do believe aviation has lost its 'sparkle" for the next generation, to them its just another mode of transport, like cars, boats and trains, I think a similar thing has happened in the train enthusiast world with steam engines in the past, kids no longer grow up wanting to be a "train driver" as they might have in the 1930's, I dont think todays generation grow up wanting to a be "pilot or astronaut" to the level they did when I was growing up in the 1960's.
The baby boomer generation grew up idolising its paternal generation who flew in combat in WW2 or Korea etc, and spent its time building airfix kits etc, imagining that world.
The interest in restoring WW2 aircraft, and restoring or building replicas of WW1 aircraft all "took-off" after WW2, led by the huge numbers of airmen trained during the war and able to return to civil life with a skill and interest in aviation, - this was often passed over to the next generation.
Our Children, (and their children) live in a world where space flights are the norm (and uninteresting to them), where Videos, TV, PC's and electronic games deliver the entertainment and "imagination" that pieces of sticks etc played in our childhood games.
Kids today can fly just about any vintage of aircraft on their PC flightsim, and more and more games are being set in fantasy worlds with modern or future hardware etc.
It is therefore very hard to capture and retain the interest of these future generations in anything outside the house and in the real world, let alone in aviation.
Two of my four children intend to pursue careers in computer "game" programming, and I have no doubt at least one will do that.
Personal recreation choices for todays generation growing up include sport, car racing, trail-bikes, boating etc, the low entry cost of other interests/hobbies such as jet-skis or trail-bikes undermines interest in aviation in my opinion, which requires expensive training to enter as a pilot and a small fortune to enter as an owner - regardless of the type of aviation.
For those who do acquire an interest in aviation there is a kaleidoscope of "aviation" to get interested in or involved in as a career or hobby.
GA, Commercial/Military, warbirds, antiques and homebuilts, sports/aerobatics. Even in the warbirds area the once dominant WW2 scene is giving way to younger aircraft and younger pilots who either have a greater affinity to Korean, Vietnam etc vintage aircraft, yearn a higher performance (jet etc) or simply cant afford the WW2 market due to its spiraling costs, hence the explosion of eastern bloc jets and Chinese primary trainers.
All of this is no reason to throw the towel in at WW1 Aero, or a local aviation museum, but it does mean making our hobbies more attractive and accessible to a wider audience (even if that audience is dwindling).
I think the internet is an example of that, I dont think all of us posting here demonstrates an expansion of the number of people in aviation, just the existance of an excellent way to communicate.
I think overall interest in aviation will continue to contract, the WW2 and Korean War generations are slowly passing, and their numbers and level of interest are not being replaced at the other end.
We can make aviation as interesting and accessible to the wider general public and hope that in the future a healthly percentage will continue to move into aviation in some level of participation, and will reach and maintain some level of equilibrium.
Having said that I think there will be a renaissance of interest in early aviation and WW1 aviation over the next 10 years as we travel through the centenary celebrations of WW1.
We have seen an upsurge in replica construction, and re-enactments of Wright Flyers etc around the 1903 anniversary and I think something similar and larger will happen from now on and will peak in the 2015-2018 period, which will become the focus of movies, airshows and perhaps TV programs.
WW1 Aero should possibly be positioning itself to promote and encourage those activities? as a focus for its efforts.
On a personal note I have always had an interest in the WW1 Aero group and your publications etc, but have found that access to them seems to be only via mail and therefore limits my interests to progress any further -
I would certainly argue that strong presence on the Internet (for WW1 Aero, museums or anyone wishing to attract participants/supporters) is required to effectively communicate with the emerging generations, and even the existing ones, to continue to "compete" in a more complex and competitive world.
I hope my thoughts and opinions help you consider the issue?
regards
Mark Pilkington
_________________ 20th Century - The Age of Manned Flight
"from Wrights to Armstrong in 66 years -WOW!"
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