phil65 wrote:
I think we are living in a little bit of a fantasy land if we think some of these planes are going to fly for any length of time.
The crash of 909, 100L.L. prices and the virus isn't going to be over on Jan. 1st. I really hope I'm wrong and we can wake up like it's Christmas morning. With that said, what about the Black Widow ?
Phil
The virus thing is just a temporary setback. All flying, including warbirds, will pick up in the latter half of 2021, assuming the vaccine(s) get approved and widely distributed. We will eventually go back to normal, the question is just how long will it take to get there?
As far as the virus affecting warbird operations, I'm more concerned about the economic devastation it has caused. I know of several well known museums that might not make it through this crisis if the economy doesn't open back up soon. I know several that are considering either selling some of their main aircraft to stay afloat or declaring bankruptcy and/or liquidation.
However, with all the doom and gloom, I don't think warbirds are going away any time soon, as there is still interest in them. I do, however, think that as time goes on, they will become more inaccessible to the "normal" person unless you have a connection/tie/friendship to a wealthy owner/operator or flying museum. The days of a middle income person being able to afford something other than an L-bird, trainer or similar are probably over.
As far as the Black Widow? It is my guess that we are probably looking at least another decade before it takes flight. They are now working on the outer wings as time and resources (money) allow. I have every confidence it will get finished, but just not in accordance with anybody's timeline.