JDK wrote:
Excellent thread, and a great timewaster!
The Royal Navy would be hard hit by Stukas, if there was no air cover - see the Med. However how close ALL the RAF was to annihilation is a moot point; if invation had been attempted, everything would have been thrown in to attacking them, and the German invasion boats and specialised equipment was ropey to say the least. An un-callable bloodbath I'd say.
Without question the RAF would have responded with everything they had, but if England lost the battle of britain then most likely the bulk of its fighter forces would have been destroyed. The remaining strength would most likely be a collection of light and medium bombers which however valiant would have had a hard time of it over a beachhead supported by the bulk of the Luftwaffe fighters in Europe. And yes, the German assault gear was dodgy at best but then again they would be landing against relatively unfortified beaches (compared with the Atlantic Wall and certain Japanese Islands). Another area, of which I admit total ignorance, is the fighting strength of the British Army in 1940. What was its manpower? What army did it have? Artillery? How dimished was it, if at all, in terms of equipment after Dunkirk?
As for the Royal Navy, I agree that the Royal Navy would have gone to Canada. But the Royal Navy, and infact the U.S. Navy would be hard pressed to operate in the north eastern Atlantic without land based airpower for protection. Keep in mind that in 1940 barely a dozen aircraft carriers, of any class, were available between the two fleets. Would this be enough to defend the fleets in the Atlantic, assuming you stripped the USN carriers from the Pacific fleet? Without the Coastal command to guard the seas around England the U-boat threat would be even more horrendous than it was since almost no restrictions on entering the Atlantic would be placed on the Kreigsmarine.
Something else to consider, if Germany invaded Britain would the Russian invasion have happened in 1941? If the Wermacht was tied up in England for the winter of 1940-1941 I doubt it would have been fully geared up for a June invasion. In our timeline the order was given in December and commenced in June. I could see the invasion being delayed until Spring 1942. How different would the invasion of Russia have been?
Another aspect to that would be with the fall of Britain the Afrika Corp would overrun North Africa. With little or no serious opposition the Germans could make a thrust northward through Lebanon and Iraq in to Russia from the south. Turkey was neutral in our timeline but was more or less pro-Germany. If Turkey jumped on the bandwagon then an invasion staged through them to coincide with a European invasion would have left the Russians hard pressed to defend both fronts.
I know I am speculating on these alternate future events but it is doubtful that dates and actions of our timeline would remain unchanged with such dramatic alteration such as the fall of Britain.
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